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Dependence Modeling with Generative Neural Networks
In this talk, the use of generative neural networks (GNNs) for dependence modeling in place of parametric dependence models is explored. Particularly, a type of GNN known as the generative moment matching network (GMMN) is investigated in the contexts of two dependence modeling tasks. First, GMMNs are introduced for generating quasi-random samples from multivariate distributions with any underlying dependence structure. These GMMN quasi-random samples are then used to obtain low-variance estimates of quantitative risk measures of interest. Second, a GMMN--GARCH approach is proposed for modeling dependent multivariate time series, where ARMA--GARCH models are utilized to capture the temporal dependence within each univariate time series and GMMNs are used to model the underlying cross-sectional dependence. The primary objective of our proposed approach is to produce probabilistic forecasts which in turn can be used to forecast various risk measures.
Date and Time
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Co-auteurs (non y compris vous-même)
Marius Hofert
University of Waterloo
Mu Zhu
University of Waterloo
Langue de la présentation orale
Anglais
Langue des supports visuels
Anglais

Speaker

Edit Name Primary Affiliation
Avinash Prasad University of Waterloo