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Smoothing of Ratemaking Errors to Identify Spatial Auto-Correlation
We explore a methodology to identify spatial boundaries of non-observed spatial factors. Insurance data has heavy tailed severity and scarce count frequency, making it difficult to separate contextual (spatial) and systematic (random) risk. Parametric models kriging and non-parametric models such as Kernel smoothing and Local Polynomial Regression are adapted to the insurance context. The smoothing surfaces are used in a binning method to adjust premiums. Applying this methodology can also be used in a Big Data context to correlate the higher or lower risk areas with new explanatory variables and reduce spatial uncertainty.
Date and Time
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Additional Authors and Speakers (not including you)
Thierry Duchesne
Universite Laval
Etienne Marceau
Universite Laval
Language of Oral Presentation
English
Language of Visual Aids
English

Speaker

Edit Name Primary Affiliation
Christopher Blier-Wong University of Toronto