Inference for the Autocovariance of a Functional Time Series and Goodness-Of-Fit Tests for fGARCH Models
Most methods for analyzing functional time series rely on the estimation of lagged autocovariance operators or surfaces. Testing whether or not such operators are zero is an important diagnostic step that is well understood when the data, or model residuals, form a strong white noise. When functional data are constructed from dense records of, for example, asset prices or returns, a weak white noise model allowing for conditional heteroscedasticity is often more realistic. Applying inferential procedures for the autocovariance based on a strong white noise to such data often leads to the erroneous conclusion that the data exhibit significant autocorrelation. We develop methods for performing inference for the lagged autocovariance operators of stationary functional time series that are valid under general conditional heteroscedasticity conditions, and apply these to conduct goodness-of-fit tests for fGARCH models.
Date and Time
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Langue de la présentation orale
Anglais
Langue des supports visuels
Anglais