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A Comparison of Methods for Bayesian Inference in Clinical Trials
Bayesian analysis updates inference as more data becomes available. Typically, Bayesian inference uses simulation approaches such as Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) but an approximation approach, the Integrated Nested Laplace Approximation (INLA), is also available. Although the simulation-based methods are theoretically accurate, they can be computationally expensive. The goal of the study is to compare INLA and two MCMC algorithms (in the software JAGS and STAN) using ATTACC/ACTIV-4a trial data of patients who were hospitalized for Covid-19 but not critically ill. By fitting Bayesian hierarchical generalized mixed models with categorical, binary and time-to-event outcomes, the posterior distributions of the treatment effect are compared. INLA requires noticeably less computational time compared to STAN and JAGS (seconds compared to hours). All the 95% CIs for the treatment effect estimated using INLA overlapped with the simulation-based methods.
Date and Time
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Co-auteurs (non y compris vous-même)
Jeffrey Berger
New York University School of Medicine
Lana Castellucci
The Ottawa Hospital
Michael Farkouh
Toronto General Hospital, University Health Network, Toronto
Ewan Goligher
Toronto General Hospital, University Health Network, Toronto
Beverley Hunt
King’s College, London
Lucy Kornblith
University of California San Francisco
Patrick Lawler
Peter Munk Cardiac Centre, University Health Network, Toronto
Eric Leifer
National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute
Matthew Neal
University of Pittsburgh Medical Center
Ryan Zarychanski
University of Manitoba
Anna Heath
The Hospital for Sick Children, Toronto, University of Toronto, University College London
Langue de la présentation orale
Anglais
Langue des supports visuels
Anglais

Speaker

Edit Name Primary Affiliation
Ziming Chen University of Toronto